Santiment’s latest analytics show that XRP holders are sitting on some of their steepest average losses in years, with the average trader down roughly 47 %. This level of pain is rare and, according to the firm, historically signals the start of a relief rally—a period where the price can rebound as the market digests the losses. For the average retail holder, this means that while the current 4 % rise to $1.1064 might look encouraging, the underlying sentiment is still heavily skewed toward fear, as reflected by the fear‑greed index at 21 (Extreme Fear).

The market context today is telling. Bitcoin is up 2.38 % and Ethereum 6.63 %, suggesting a modest overall bullish trend, but the extreme‑fear classification indicates that many investors are still wary. XRP’s price is hovering near the $1.10 mark—a level that analysts are watching closely as a potential support zone. If the token can hold above this level, it could trigger the relief rally Santiment predicts. Conversely, a break below could deepen the pain and prolong the bearish phase.

What to watch next? Keep an eye on XRP’s path back toward $1.10, as several analysts on the site have highlighted this as a key test. The 4 % daily gain is a positive sign, but the extreme‑fear environment means that any rally could be short‑lived or subject to sharp retracements. For retail investors, the takeaway is to stay cautious: while the data hints at a potential rebound, the market’s fear signals that volatility is likely to remain high in the coming days.